FanBoardHQ

New Mexico

University of New Mexico · 2023 · Mountain West

FanBoardHQ CFP
#115
Efficiency
-14.4
114th FBS
Record
4-8
Conf. record
2-6
Conf. finish
T-10th
of 12
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New Mexico went 4-8 and was ranked 115th in the FanBoardHQ CFP Rankings (blended resume and efficiency). Their 49th-ranked offense was the engine, backed by a 132nd-ranked defense. They ran the ball on 51% of offensive plays with a 37th-ranked rushing attack and passed the ball on the remaining 49% of plays with a 43rd-ranked passing attack.

Quadrant record

By opponent strength, adjusted for where the game was played.

Q1
0-1
Q2
0-1
Q3
1-3
Q4
3-3

Projected wins

Per-game win probabilities combined across the full schedule.

0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
Expected: 4.0 wins
Strength of Record
108th
-5.5 wins above a 25th-ranked team's expectation
Strength of Schedule
to date
91st
full season
91st
AP poll
Unranked
Conf. sched. difficulty
75th
a 25th-ranked team would win ~6.3 conference games on this schedule

The resume

Every game on the schedule. Click a row for the game breakdown (played) or the matchup projection (upcoming).

WkOpponentConfOpp rankResultExp. marginWin probGameScoreQuad
1@ Texas A&MSEC#38L 1052-31.40%-30.1Q1
2vs Tennessee TechBig South-OVCW 5610+18.0100%3.9Q4
3vs New Mexico StateConference USA#65L 1727-7.20%-18.7Q4
4@ MassachusettsFBS Independents#127W 3431+2.6100%-17.1Q4
5@ WyomingMountain West#42L 2635-17.20%-5.9Q3
7vs San José StateMountain West#67L 2452-13.40%-28.5Q3
8vs Hawai'iMountain West#109W 4221+4.0100%10.5Q4
9@ NevadaMountain West#131L 2434+3.30%-21.5Q4
10vs UNLVMountain West#50L 1456-14.00%-41.4Q3
11@ Boise StateMountain West#49L 1442-24.00%-19.7Q2
12@ Fresno StateMountain West#57W 2517-15.7100%10.5Q3
13vs Utah StateMountain West#94L 4144-2.40%-14.8Q4

12 played · 4-8. Expected margin and gamescore use the latest ratings — a completed game shows what the model would say now, not that week.

The season

The model’s read on New Mexico, recomputed after every week. Toggle between overall, offensive, and defensive efficiency (each with a dot for that week’s game) or the FanBoardHQ CFP rank.

-37.2-15.4+6.4-304-19-17-6-2811-22-41-2011-15Week 0Week 17
Line = the model's read each week; dots = that week's game (green above the line, red below).

Passing & rushing

Opponent-adjusted, FBS-only. The bar is the blended Eff rank — EPA/play (scoring value), success rate (staying on schedule), and yards/play (explosiveness), each standardized against the FBS field. The three ranks below each bar are those components, so you can see what's driving it.

Offense
PassingEff 43rd
SR 45thYPP 46thEPA 36th
RushingEff 37th
SR 23rdYPP 43rdEPA 45th
Defense
Pass defenseEff 137th
SR 124thYPP 138thEPA 137th
Rush defenseEff 121st
SR 129thYPP 102ndEPA 119th
Dropback rate 49%Tempo -5.0 snaps/game vs. averageFaced pass defenses ranked 87th on average
Success rate by down

Their offense vs. what their defense allows.

1st · Offense: 45%1st · Defense allowed: 50%1st2nd · Offense: 50%2nd · Defense allowed: 47%2nd3rd/4th · Offense: 43%3rd/4th · Defense allowed: 40%3rd/4th
OffenseDefense allowed
Points by quarter

Scored vs. allowed, all regular-season games.

Q1 · Scored: 65.0Q1 · Allowed: 80.0Q1Q2 · Scored: 121.0Q2 · Allowed: 147.0Q2Q3 · Scored: 58.0Q3 · Allowed: 85.0Q3Q4 · Scored: 94.0Q4 · Allowed: 91.0Q4
ScoredAllowed

What kind of team is this?

Every team by offensive and defensive efficiency (points/game vs. an average team, higher is better on both). Click a dot for that team.

elite bothdefense-ledrebuildingoffense-ledNew MexicoOffenseDefense
New Mexico Offense vs Defense, 2023
Offensive EffRanked 49th
+1.3
Field position: -3.3Finishing drives: +4.6
Field position -3.3Finishing drives +4.6= +1.3
Offensive Eff efficiency split into field position and finishing

Field position 133rd · Finishing 34th

Defensive EffRanked 132nd
-14.7
Field position: -1.3Finishing drives: -13.5
Field position -1.3Finishing drives -13.5= -14.7
Defensive Eff efficiency split into field position and finishing

Field position 105th · Finishing 132nd

2.09 points per drive on offense, 2.76 allowed — starting, on average, at their own 28.

Play-calling & efficiency

What the offense did, by quarter and by down — raw, not opponent-adjusted.

By quarter
Quarter (att.)Pass / rushSuccessYd/play
Q1(183)46% / 54%48%6.6
Q2(222)52% / 48%49%7.3
Q3(162)48% / 52%44%6.2
Q4(213)47% / 53%44%5.5
how play-calling and results shifted through games — (n) = plays, season total
Passing by down
Down (att.)Avg. to goSuccessYd/play
1st(166)10.343%8.1
2nd(111)10.148%7.6
3rd(92)9.633%4.4
4th(9)10.256%5.1
All (378)42%7.0
Rushing by down
Down (att.)Avg. to goSuccessYd/play
1st(205)9.847%5.4
2nd(141)7.151%6.5
3rd(52)5.856%6.3
4th(4)1.3100%3.8
All (402)50%5.9

New Mexico, all games.